2019 Federal Election

Updated: Mon, 24 Jun 2019 10:26:15 AM AEST

House of Representatives - who is leading?

This graph provides a pictorial view of the status of all House of Representatives contests and the potential for a party or party grouping to form government. The graph indicates:

  • How many seats each party/party grouping is considered to be currently 'leading on 1st preferences' [used instead of available TCP data]
  • How many seats each party/party grouping is considered to be currently 'leading on actual TCP'
  • How many seats each party/party grouping is considered to be currently 'leading on actual TCP' but are considered 'close'
  • How many seats are considered 'too close to attribute'
  • How many seats have 'TCP unavailable' but have not been designated 'leading on 1st preferences'

Notes:

  1. Two candidate preferred (TCP) is a count of the two leading candidates only - votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. Actual TCP swing is reported. The base for the swing is total notional historic vote for the division. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  2. ‘Leading on 1st preferences’ is used when appropriate TCP results are not available yet the 1st preference count clearly indicates the candidate expected to win [mainly used when an incorrect selection was made on the second TCP candidate].
  3. 'Leading on TCP' means more than 5.00% of the TCP count has been conducted and the current margin is greater than 1.00%.
  4. 'Close' means more than 5.00% of the TCP count has been conducted and the current margin is less than 1.00%.
  5. ‘Too close to attribute’ means the margin of TCP is so small as to not be able to accurately attribute the seat.
  6. 'TCP unavailable' means less than 5.00% of the TCP count has been conducted or the current TCP candidates are expected to change and a new count commenced, and 1st preferences do not clearly indicate a leading candidate.
  7. These results are not final.

Progress

  • 151 of 151 House of Representatives seats have been declared.
  • Seats are attributed to parties/party groupings based on actual TCP swing.

Party representation - who is leading?

This table provides the number of seats each party is currently leading within each state and territory, regardless of the size of the current margin. This table is sortable by selecting column headers.

Notes:

  1. 'leading' is used when more than 5.00% of the two candidate preferred (TCP) count has been conducted and the candidate is leading on projected TCP percentage.
  2. 'TCP unavailable' is used when less than 5.00% of the TCP count has been conducted.
  3. Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only - votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  4. These results are not final.

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Party representation - who is leading?
Party NSW VIC QLD WA SA TAS ACT NT National Previous election
Liberal/National Coalition 22 15 23 11 4 2 0 0 77 76
Liberal 15 12 0 11 4 2 0 0 44 45
Liberal National Party 0 0 23 0 0 0 0 0 23 21
The Nationals 7 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
Country Liberals (NT) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Australian Labor Party 24 21 6 5 5 2 3 2 68 69
The Greens 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
Katter's Australian Party (KAP) 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
Centre Alliance 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1
Independent 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 2
Too close to attribute 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
TCP unavailable 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Total 47 38 30 16 10 5 3 2 151 -
Declared 47 38 30 16 10 5 3 2 151 -

Which seats are currently close?

The data provided in this table can be filtered by geographical location by selecting the different state/territory buttons.

Selecting 'national' will return all available data.

This table provides a list of 'close seats' by party. The table also provides the party who held the seat following the previous federal election and the current swing to or from that party.

This table is sortable by selecting column headers and you can access the current results for each seat by selecting the division name.

Notes:

  1. 'close seat' is used when more than 5.00% of the two candidate preferred (TCP) count has been conducted and the current margin is less than 1.00%
  2. 'swing' means the current percentage of TCP votes a party has received compared with the percentage of TCP votes that party received at the previous federal election
  3. Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only - votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  4. The term 'Held by' may not relate to actual results from the last event. Redistributions of electoral boundaries are taken into account and may produce notional results for any electoral division in a redistributed state or territory. See www.aec.gov.au/redistribution for further information.
  5. These results are not final.
Division State Held by TCP % Swing % Counted %

Two party preferred

The national two party preferred (TPP) count represents the progressive aggregation of TPP counts in individual divisions.

This table provides a progressive national two party preferred (TPP) count. The data includes the current national TPP swing - a comparison of the current percentage of national TPP votes for each party compared to the percentage of TPP votes received at the previous federal election.

Notes:

  1. TPP is a count of House of Representatives votes for the two major parties - Liberal/National Coalition and Australian Labor Party - without taking into account preferences for other parties.
  2. These results are not final.
National two party count
Party / Coalition Votes Percentage % Swing %
Liberal/National Coalition7,344,81351.53+1.17
Australian Labor Party6,908,58048.47-1.17