2025 Federal Election

Flinders, VIC

Updated: Fri, 23 May 2025 5:49:07 PM AEST

This table provides the current two candidate preferred (TCP) count for the division. The data includes swing - a comparison of the percentage of TCP votes received at the previous federal election compared to the current federal election.

Notes:

  1. Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only. Votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  2. The term 'Previous election' may not relate to actual results from the last event. Redistributions of electoral boundaries are taken into account and may produce notional results for any electoral division in a redistributed state or territory. See www.aec.gov.au/redistribution for further information.
  3. These results are not final.
Two candidate preferred (TCP) for Flinders (VIC) 50 of 50 polling places returned and 100.00% of the ballot papers counted thus far have also had a TCP count undertaken.
Candidate Party Votes Margin This election (%) Previous election (%) Swing (%) Status
SMITH, BenIndependent54,833-5,25747.710.00+47.71 
McKENZIE, ZoeLiberal60,0905,25752.290.00+52.29Previous Member

This table provides the number of first preference votes received for all candidates in the division. The data includes swing - a comparison of the percentage of first preference votes received at the previous federal election compared to the current federal election.

This table is sortable by selecting on column headers.

Notes:

  1. These results are not final.
First preference count for the division of Flinders (VIC)
50 of 50 polling places returned.
Candidate Party Votes % Swing (%) Status
SMART, Jason Trumpet of Patriots 3,144 2.74 +2.25  
SMITH, Ben Independent 24,406 21.24 +21.24  
McKENZIE, Zoe Liberal 47,375 41.22 -2.07 Previous Member
BROWN, Mike Pauline Hanson's One Nation 6,091 5.30 +2.01  
TOSCANO, Joseph Independent 980 0.85 +0.85  
RACE, Sarah Australian Labor Party 25,622 22.29 -0.56  
FROGLEY, Adam The Greens 7,305 6.36 -3.15  
...... Liberal Democratic Party 0 0.00 -2.38  
...... Animal Justice Party 0 0.00 -2.05  
...... United Australia Party 0 0.00 -4.43  
...... Other 0 0.00 -11.71  
Formal   114,923 96.44 +1.75  
Informal   4,246 3.56 -1.75  
Total   119,169  

This table provides the number and percentage breakdown of first preference votes received by vote type for the division.

This table is sortable by selecting on column headers.

Notes:

  1. An ordinary vote is a vote cast by an elector when their name can be verified on the electoral roll at the place of voting. This can be at an early voting centre or polling place in the voter's own division or at an interstate voting centre.
  2. An absent vote is a vote cast at a polling place outside of a voter's electoral division, but still within their state or territory.
  3. Provisional votes are votes cast at a polling place where the elector's name cannot be found on the roll, the elector's name has already been marked off the roll or votes cast by a silent elector.
  4. These results are not final.
First preferences by vote type
Candidate Party Ordinary Absent Provisional Declaration pre-poll Postal Total Status
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
SMART, Jason Trumpet of Patriots 2,181 2.50 181 5.88 4 6.45 182 4.19 596 2.93 3,144 2.74  
SMITH, Ben Independent 20,247 23.25 432 14.04 13 20.97 588 13.53 3,126 15.37 24,406 21.24  
McKENZIE, Zoe Liberal 34,265 39.34 1,033 33.57 20 32.26 1,802 41.47 10,255 50.42 47,375 41.22 Previous Member
BROWN, Mike Pauline Hanson's One Nation 4,672 5.36 196 6.37 7 11.29 251 5.78 965 4.74 6,091 5.30  
TOSCANO, Joseph Independent 685 0.79 55 1.79 1 1.61 60 1.38 179 0.88 980 0.85  
RACE, Sarah Australian Labor Party 19,678 22.59 742 24.11 12 19.35 986 22.69 4,204 20.67 25,622 22.29  
FROGLEY, Adam The Greens 5,371 6.17 438 14.23 5 8.06 476 10.96 1,015 4.99 7,305 6.36  
Formal   87,099 96.14 3,077 95.35 62 98.41 4,345 96.77 20,340 97.81 114,923 96.44  
Informal   3,495 3.86 150 4.65 1 1.59 145 3.23 455 2.19 4,246 3.56  
Total   90,594 76.02 3,227 2.71 63 0.05 4,490 3.77 20,795 17.45 119,169 93.38  

This table provides the number and percentage breakdown of two candidate preferred (TCP) votes received by vote type for the division.

Notes:

  1. Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only. Votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  2. An ordinary vote is a vote cast by an elector when their name can be verified on the electoral roll at the place of voting. This can be at an early voting centre or polling place in the voter's own division or at an interstate voting centre.
  3. An absent vote is a vote cast at a polling place outside of a voter's electoral division, but still within their state or territory.
  4. Provisional votes are votes cast at a polling place where the elector's name cannot be found on the roll, the elector's name has already been marked off the roll or votes cast by a silent elector.
  5. These results are not final.
Two candidate preferred result by vote type
Candidate Party Ordinary Absent Provisional Declaration pre-poll Postal Total Status
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
SMITH, Ben Independent 43,541 49.99 1,534 49.85 31 50.00 1,939 44.63 7,788 38.29 54,833 47.71  
McKENZIE, Zoe Liberal 43,558 50.01 1,543 50.15 31 50.00 2,406 55.37 12,552 61.71 60,090 52.29 Previous Member

This table provides a list of the polling places in the division and the time and date of the most recent updated results for that polling place.

This table is sortable by selecting on column headers and you can find polling place results by selecting on the name of the polling place.

Notes:

  1. These results are not final.
Polling places for Flinders (VIC)
Polling place Street address First preference returned Two candidate preferred (TCP) returned
Balnarring Balnarring Primary School, 16 Civic Ct, BALNARRING VIC 3926 Wed, 14 May 2025 4:10:51 PM AEST Wed, 14 May 2025 4:10:51 PM AEST
Baxter (Flinders) Baxter Primary School, 120 Grant Rd, BAXTER VIC 3911 Fri, 23 May 2025 4:52:12 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 4:52:12 PM AEST
Bittern Bittern Primary School, 10 Portsmouth Rd, BITTERN VIC 3918 Wed, 14 May 2025 3:52:41 PM AEST Wed, 14 May 2025 3:52:41 PM AEST
Blairgowrie Blairgowrie Community Hall, 8 William Rd, BLAIRGOWRIE VIC 3942 Wed, 14 May 2025 3:26:21 PM AEST Wed, 14 May 2025 3:26:21 PM AEST
Boneo Boneo Community Hall, 572 Boneo Rd, BONEO VIC 3939 Mon, 19 May 2025 5:02:13 PM AEST Mon, 19 May 2025 5:02:13 PM AEST
Crib Point Crib Point Primary School, 70 Milne St, CRIB POINT VIC 3919 Wed, 14 May 2025 4:09:06 PM AEST Wed, 14 May 2025 4:09:06 PM AEST
Dromana Dromana Primary School, 50 McCulloch St, DROMANA VIC 3936 Tue, 20 May 2025 4:45:57 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 4:45:57 PM AEST
Dromana Beach Dromana Community Hall, 2A Verdon St, DROMANA VIC 3936 Fri, 23 May 2025 10:39:57 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 10:39:57 AM AEST
Dromana North Dromana Senior Citizens Club, 43 Pier St, DROMANA VIC 3936 Mon, 19 May 2025 5:03:29 PM AEST Mon, 19 May 2025 5:03:29 PM AEST
EAV Flinders PPVC AEC National EAV Centre, 10 Mort St, CANBERRA ACT 2601 Thu, 15 May 2025 10:25:24 AM AEST Thu, 15 May 2025 10:25:24 AM AEST
Flinders Flinders Civic Hall, 54-56 Cook St, FLINDERS VIC 3929 Thu, 22 May 2025 4:56:15 PM AEST Thu, 22 May 2025 4:56:15 PM AEST
Frankston FLINDERS PPVC Functions By The Bay, Cnr Plowman Pl and Young St, FRANKSTON VIC 3199 Fri, 16 May 2025 8:36:48 AM AEST Fri, 16 May 2025 8:36:48 AM AEST
Hastings Wallaroo Primary School Hastings, Stalwart Ave, HASTINGS VIC 3915 Wed, 14 May 2025 4:04:32 PM AEST Wed, 14 May 2025 4:04:32 PM AEST
Hastings FLINDERS PPVC Advance Community College (Hastings Hub), 1973 Frankston-Flinders Rd, HASTINGS VIC 3915 Fri, 23 May 2025 10:31:13 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 10:31:13 AM AEST
Hastings West Western Port Secondary College, 215 High St, HASTINGS VIC 3915 Fri, 23 May 2025 3:31:58 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 3:31:58 PM AEST
Moorooduc Moorooduc Primary School, 279 Mornington-Tyabb Rd, MOOROODUC VIC 3933 Wed, 14 May 2025 5:01:15 PM AEST Wed, 14 May 2025 5:01:15 PM AEST
Mornington Saint Mark's Uniting Church, 50 Barkly St, MORNINGTON VIC 3931 Wed, 14 May 2025 4:50:11 PM AEST Wed, 14 May 2025 4:50:11 PM AEST
Mornington Central Mornington Primary School, 25 Vale St, MORNINGTON VIC 3931 Fri, 23 May 2025 4:21:38 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 4:21:38 PM AEST
Mornington East Benton Junior College, 261 Racecourse Rd, MORNINGTON VIC 3931 Fri, 23 May 2025 4:34:16 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 4:34:16 PM AEST
Mornington Park Mornington Park Primary School, 40-58 Robertson Dr, MORNINGTON VIC 3931 Fri, 23 May 2025 3:57:29 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 3:57:29 PM AEST
Mornington South 1st Mornington Scout Hall (Venice Reserve), Mitchell St, MORNINGTON VIC 3931 Thu, 15 May 2025 10:09:50 AM AEST Thu, 15 May 2025 10:09:50 AM AEST
Mount Eliza (Flinders) Mount Eliza Secondary College, 204 Canadian Bay Rd, MOUNT ELIZA VIC 3930 Wed, 21 May 2025 11:10:45 AM AEST Wed, 21 May 2025 11:10:45 AM AEST
Mount Eliza Central Mount Eliza Fifty Five Plus Club, 90B Canadian Bay Rd, MOUNT ELIZA VIC 3930 Mon, 19 May 2025 5:04:50 PM AEST Mon, 19 May 2025 5:04:50 PM AEST
Mount Eliza FLINDERS PPVC Mount Eliza Community Hall, 90-100 Canadian Bay Rd, MOUNT ELIZA VIC 3930 Fri, 23 May 2025 5:13:52 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 5:13:52 PM AEST
Mount Eliza South Mount Eliza Primary School, 1 Wooralla Dr, MOUNT ELIZA VIC 3930 Thu, 15 May 2025 10:17:54 AM AEST Thu, 15 May 2025 10:17:54 AM AEST
Mount Eliza West Kunyung Primary School, 50 Kunyung Rd, MOUNT ELIZA VIC 3930 Thu, 15 May 2025 10:08:20 AM AEST Thu, 15 May 2025 10:08:20 AM AEST
Mount Martha Mt Martha Primary School, 37-55 Glenisla Dr, MOUNT MARTHA VIC 3934 Fri, 23 May 2025 5:00:20 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 5:00:20 PM AEST
Mount Martha Nepean Salvation Army Mornington Mission Centre, 750 Nepean Hwy, MOUNT MARTHA VIC 3934 Fri, 23 May 2025 5:16:36 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 5:16:36 PM AEST
Mount Martha North Osborne Primary School, 120 Craigie Rd, MOUNT MARTHA VIC 3934 Wed, 14 May 2025 1:40:03 PM AEST Wed, 14 May 2025 1:40:03 PM AEST
Mount Martha PPVC Salvation Army Mornington Mission Centre, 750 Nepean Hwy, MOUNT MARTHA VIC 3934 Fri, 23 May 2025 5:04:25 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 5:04:25 PM AEST
Portsea Watson's Pavilion, 33A Blair Rd, PORTSEA VIC 3944 Thu, 22 May 2025 5:13:18 PM AEST Thu, 22 May 2025 5:13:18 PM AEST
Red Hill Red Hill Consolidated School, 341 Arthurs Seat Rd, RED HILL VIC 3937 Thu, 15 May 2025 10:14:31 AM AEST Thu, 15 May 2025 10:14:31 AM AEST
Rosebud East All Saints Anglican Church, 1153-1157 Point Nepean Rd, ROSEBUD VIC 3939 Thu, 15 May 2025 10:49:06 AM AEST Thu, 15 May 2025 10:49:06 AM AEST
Rosebud PPVC Rosebud Sea Scouts Hall, Rosebud Foreshore, Point Nepean Rd, ROSEBUD VIC 3939 Fri, 23 May 2025 10:57:22 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 10:57:22 AM AEST
Rosebud South Bayview Church, 1 Inglewood Cres, ROSEBUD VIC 3939 Fri, 23 May 2025 5:46:35 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 5:46:35 PM AEST
Rosebud West Rosebud Secondary College, 245 Eastbourne Rd, ROSEBUD VIC 3939 Fri, 23 May 2025 4:42:09 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 4:42:09 PM AEST
Rye Rye Civic Hall (Citizens Hall), 12 Napier St, RYE VIC 3941 Wed, 14 May 2025 11:59:20 AM AEST Wed, 14 May 2025 11:59:20 AM AEST
St Andrews Beach St Andrews Beach Recreational Hall, 99 Bass Meadows Blvd, ST ANDREWS BEACH VIC 3941 Fri, 23 May 2025 3:52:28 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 3:52:28 PM AEST
Shoreham Shoreham Community Hall, 67 Byrnes Rd, SHOREHAM VIC 3916 Thu, 15 May 2025 11:03:37 AM AEST Thu, 15 May 2025 11:03:37 AM AEST
Somers Somers Primary School, 87 Camp Hill Rd, SOMERS VIC 3927 Fri, 23 May 2025 5:38:37 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 5:38:37 PM AEST
Somerville Somerville Mechanics Hall, 66 Station St, SOMERVILLE VIC 3912 Fri, 23 May 2025 10:12:05 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 10:12:05 AM AEST
Somerville East Somerville Primary School, 37 Eramosa Rd E, SOMERVILLE VIC 3912 Wed, 21 May 2025 4:14:15 PM AEST Wed, 21 May 2025 4:14:15 PM AEST
Somerville West Somerville Rise Primary School, 34 Worwong Ave, SOMERVILLE VIC 3912 Mon, 19 May 2025 5:07:39 PM AEST Mon, 19 May 2025 5:07:39 PM AEST
Sorrento Sorrento Community Centre, 860 Melbourne Rd, SORRENTO VIC 3943 Thu, 15 May 2025 12:09:31 PM AEST Thu, 15 May 2025 12:09:31 PM AEST
Special Hospital Team 1 Multiple sites, VIC Fri, 23 May 2025 4:14:03 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 4:14:03 PM AEST
Special Hospital Team 2 Multiple sites, VIC Wed, 14 May 2025 2:57:08 PM AEST Wed, 14 May 2025 2:57:08 PM AEST
Special Hospital Team 3 Multiple sites, VIC Wed, 14 May 2025 2:46:15 PM AEST Wed, 14 May 2025 2:46:15 PM AEST
Special Hospital Team 4 Multiple sites, VIC Mon, 19 May 2025 5:15:39 PM AEST Mon, 19 May 2025 5:15:39 PM AEST
Tootgarook Tootgarook Primary School, 7 Carmichael St, TOOTGAROOK VIC 3941 Mon, 19 May 2025 5:09:55 PM AEST Mon, 19 May 2025 5:09:55 PM AEST
Tyabb Tyabb Community Hall, 1535 Frankston-Flinders Rd, TYABB VIC 3913 Thu, 22 May 2025 3:32:50 PM AEST Thu, 22 May 2025 3:32:50 PM AEST

This table provides the current two candidate preferred (TCP) count for each polling place in the division. The data includes swing - a comparison of the percentage of TCP votes received at the previous federal election compared to the current federal election.

Notes:

  1. Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only. Votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  2. These results are not final.
Two candidate preferred by polling place
Polling place Formal McKENZIE, Zoe
Liberal
SMITH, Ben
Independent
Swing
Votes % Votes %
Balnarring 946 359 37.95 587 62.05 37.95
Baxter (Flinders) 751 337 44.87 414 55.13 44.87
Bittern 762 345 45.28 417 54.72 45.28
Blairgowrie 768 395 51.43 373 48.57 51.43
Boneo 366 176 48.09 190 51.91 48.09
Crib Point 761 329 43.23 432 56.77 43.23
Dromana 1,146 519 45.29 627 54.71 45.29
Dromana Beach 371 153 41.24 218 58.76 41.24
Dromana North 922 471 51.08 451 48.92 51.08
EAV Flinders PPVC 11 7 63.64 4 36.36 63.64
Flinders 479 219 45.72 260 54.28 45.72
Frankston FLINDERS PPVC 756 356 47.09 400 52.91 47.09
Hastings 662 295 44.56 367 55.44 44.56
Hastings FLINDERS PPVC 12,069 6,303 52.22 5,766 47.78 52.22
Hastings West 1,148 586 51.05 562 48.95 51.05
Moorooduc 505 313 61.98 192 38.02 61.98
Mornington 1,468 754 51.36 714 48.64 51.36
Mornington Central 866 387 44.69 479 55.31 44.69
Mornington East 1,857 965 51.97 892 48.03 51.97
Mornington Park 964 391 40.56 573 59.44 40.56
Mornington South 642 267 41.59 375 58.41 41.59
Mount Eliza (Flinders) 909 451 49.61 458 50.39 49.61
Mount Eliza Central 465 267 57.42 198 42.58 57.42
Mount Eliza FLINDERS PPVC 4,944 2,689 54.39 2,255 45.61 54.39
Mount Eliza South 1,146 510 44.50 636 55.50 44.50
Mount Eliza West 838 398 47.49 440 52.51 47.49
Mount Martha 1,639 765 46.67 874 53.33 46.67
Mount Martha Nepean 750 352 46.93 398 53.07 46.93
Mount Martha North 1,636 783 47.86 853 52.14 47.86
Mount Martha PPVC 13,477 7,066 52.43 6,411 47.57 52.43
Portsea 207 132 63.77 75 36.23 63.77
Red Hill 722 288 39.89 434 60.11 39.89
Rosebud East 1,006 435 43.24 571 56.76 43.24
Rosebud PPVC 19,769 10,008 50.62 9,761 49.38 50.62
Rosebud South 1,058 468 44.23 590 55.77 44.23
Rosebud West 890 361 40.56 529 59.44 40.56
Rye 1,230 518 42.11 712 57.89 42.11
Shoreham 327 107 32.72 220 67.28 32.72
Somers 618 193 31.23 425 68.77 31.23
Somerville 754 445 59.02 309 40.98 59.02
Somerville East 1,155 599 51.86 556 48.14 51.86
Somerville West 1,525 823 53.97 702 46.03 53.97
Sorrento 683 412 60.32 271 39.68 60.32
Special Hospital Team 1 239 125 52.30 114 47.70 52.30
Special Hospital Team 2 188 105 55.85 83 44.15 55.85
Special Hospital Team 3 221 135 61.09 86 38.91 61.09
Special Hospital Team 4 311 187 60.13 124 39.87 60.13
St Andrews Beach 444 190 42.79 254 57.21 42.79
Tootgarook 722 289 40.03 433 59.97 40.03
Tyabb 1,006 530 52.68 476 47.32 52.68
ABSENT 3,077 1,543 50.15 1,534 49.85 0.00
PRE_POLL 4,345 2,406 55.37 1,939 44.63 0.00
POSTAL 20,340 12,552 61.71 7,788 38.29 0.00
PROVISIONAL 62 31 50.00 31 50.00 0.00
Division Total 114,923 60,090 52.29 54,833 47.71 52.29

This table shows the progress of Declaration vote scrutiny for a particular division. In this table you will find...

  • The number declaration vote envelopes issued for the division.
  • The number of declaration vote envelopes received by the division.
  • The number of envelopes rejected at preliminary scrutiny.
  • The number of declaration vote ballot papers counted.

Notes:

  1. These results are not final.
Declaration vote scrutiny progress
Absent Provisional Declaration pre-poll Postal Total
Envelopes issued 3,309 247 4,659 24,523 32,738
Envelopes received 3,309 247 4,659 21,360 29,575
Ballot papers counted 3,227 63 4,490 20,795 28,575
Ballot papers not returned by voter 26 2 8 37 73
Ballot papers disallowed 9 15 15 2 41
Envelopes rejected at preliminary scrutiny 47 167 146 526 886
Envelopes processed 3,309 247 4,659 21,360 29,575
Envelopes awaiting processing 0 0 0 0 0

Profile of division of Flinders (VIC)
Elected member McKenzie, Z (LP). Elected 2022.
Name derivation Named in honour of Matthew Flinders, 1774-1814. Flinders was a well-known navigator and explorer who charted parts of the Australian coast. The adoption of the name Australia is due to him.
First proclaimed / election 2024/1901
Area 887 sq. kms
Demographic Rural
Pre-Election seat status Fairly Safe
Seat status Marginal
Location The Division of Flinders consists of part of the Mornington Peninsula Shire Council and the unincorporated area of French-Elizabeth-Sandstone Islands.
Products and Industry