2025 Federal Election

Bruce, VIC

Updated: Sun, 04 May 2025 11:55:26 AM AEST

This table provides the current two candidate preferred (TCP) count for the division. The data includes swing - a comparison of the percentage of TCP votes received at the previous federal election compared to the current federal election.

Notes:

  1. Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only. Votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  2. The term 'Previous election' may not relate to actual results from the last event. Redistributions of electoral boundaries are taken into account and may produce notional results for any electoral division in a redistributed state or territory. See www.aec.gov.au/redistribution for further information.
  3. These results are not final.
Two candidate preferred (TCP) for Bruce (VIC) 49 of 49 polling places returned and 99.99% of the ballot papers counted thus far have also had a TCP count undertaken.
Candidate Party Votes Margin This election (%) Previous election (%) Swing (%) Status
HILL, JulianAustralian Labor Party54,12925,89265.7255.31+10.41Previous Member
SAFI, ZahidLiberal28,237-25,89234.2844.69-10.41 

This table provides the number of first preference votes received for all candidates in the division. The data includes swing - a comparison of the percentage of first preference votes received at the previous federal election compared to the current federal election.

This table is sortable by selecting on column headers.

Notes:

  1. These results are not final.
First preference count for the division of Bruce (VIC)
49 of 49 polling places returned.
Candidate Party Votes % Swing (%) Status
COLECCHIA, Bianca Pauline Hanson's One Nation 6,584 7.99 +3.30  
GARAD, Rhonda The Greens 10,126 12.29 +2.58  
HILL, Julian Australian Labor Party 38,312 46.51 +6.25 Previous Member
SKROBO, Christine Libertarian 1,012 1.23 +1.23  
SAFI, Zahid Liberal 18,312 22.23 -9.45  
ANDERSON, Samuel James Trumpet of Patriots 2,455 2.98 +2.89  
LOUTH, Andrew Legalise Cannabis Party 2,490 3.02 +3.02  
BIRCHALL, Wendy Family First 3,082 3.74 +3.74  
...... Liberal Democratic Party 0 0.00 -4.73  
...... Animal Justice Party 0 0.00 -0.16  
...... United Australia Party 0 0.00 -8.53  
...... Other 0 0.00 -0.15  
Formal   82,373 94.11 -1.50  
Informal   5,160 5.89 +1.50  
Total   87,533  

This table provides the number and percentage breakdown of first preference votes received by vote type for the division.

This table is sortable by selecting on column headers.

Notes:

  1. An ordinary vote is a vote cast by an elector when their name can be verified on the electoral roll at the place of voting. This can be at an early voting centre or polling place in the voter's own division or at an interstate voting centre.
  2. An absent vote is a vote cast at a polling place outside of a voter's electoral division, but still within their state or territory.
  3. Provisional votes are votes cast at a polling place where the elector's name cannot be found on the roll, the elector's name has already been marked off the roll or votes cast by a silent elector.
  4. These results are not final.
First preferences by vote type
Candidate Party Ordinary Absent Provisional Declaration pre-poll Postal Total Status
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
COLECCHIA, Bianca Pauline Hanson's One Nation 6,430 8.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 154 7.89 6,584 7.99  
GARAD, Rhonda The Greens 9,996 12.43 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 130 6.66 10,126 12.29  
HILL, Julian Australian Labor Party 37,403 46.51 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 909 46.59 38,312 46.51 Previous Member
SKROBO, Christine Libertarian 1,003 1.25 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 9 0.46 1,012 1.23  
SAFI, Zahid Liberal 17,711 22.02 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 601 30.80 18,312 22.23  
ANDERSON, Samuel James Trumpet of Patriots 2,396 2.98 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 59 3.02 2,455 2.98  
LOUTH, Andrew Legalise Cannabis Party 2,445 3.04 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 45 2.31 2,490 3.02  
BIRCHALL, Wendy Family First 3,038 3.78 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 44 2.26 3,082 3.74  
Formal   80,422 94.02 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1,951 97.55 82,373 94.11  
Informal   5,111 5.98 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 49 2.45 5,160 5.89  
Total   85,533 97.72 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 2,000 2.28 87,533 68.56  

This table provides the number and percentage breakdown of two candidate preferred (TCP) votes received by vote type for the division.

Notes:

  1. Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only. Votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  2. An ordinary vote is a vote cast by an elector when their name can be verified on the electoral roll at the place of voting. This can be at an early voting centre or polling place in the voter's own division or at an interstate voting centre.
  3. An absent vote is a vote cast at a polling place outside of a voter's electoral division, but still within their state or territory.
  4. Provisional votes are votes cast at a polling place where the elector's name cannot be found on the roll, the elector's name has already been marked off the roll or votes cast by a silent elector.
  5. These results are not final.
Two candidate preferred result by vote type
Candidate Party Ordinary Absent Provisional Declaration pre-poll Postal Total Status
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
HILL, Julian Australian Labor Party 52,982 65.89 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1,147 58.79 54,129 65.72 Previous Member
SAFI, Zahid Liberal 27,433 34.11 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 804 41.21 28,237 34.28  

This table provides a list of the polling places in the division and the time and date of the most recent updated results for that polling place.

This table is sortable by selecting on column headers and you can find polling place results by selecting on the name of the polling place.

Notes:

  1. These results are not final.
Polling places for Bruce (VIC)
Polling place Street address First preference returned Two candidate preferred (TCP) returned
Beaconsfield (Bruce) Beaconsfield Primary School, 71-77 Old Princes Hwy, BEACONSFIELD VIC 3807 Sat, 03 May 2025 7:33:02 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 7:39:02 PM AEST
Berwick (Bruce) Berwick Secondary College, 67- 69 Manuka Rd, BERWICK VIC 3806 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:38:44 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 9:23:42 PM AEST
Berwick BRUCE PPVC Akoonah Park Centre, 2 Cardinia St, BERWICK VIC 3806 Sat, 03 May 2025 11:02:34 PM AEST Sun, 04 May 2025 12:50:10 AM AEST
Berwick Central Timbarra Community Centre, Timbarra Way, BERWICK VIC 3806 Sat, 03 May 2025 7:18:57 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 7:42:24 PM AEST
Berwick Fields (Bruce) Berwick Fields Primary School, 35 Gwendoline Dr, BERWICK VIC 3806 Sat, 03 May 2025 7:49:45 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 9:37:15 PM AEST
Berwick Lodge Berwick Lodge Primary School, 139-145 Mansfield St, BERWICK VIC 3806 Sat, 03 May 2025 7:45:05 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:35:38 PM AEST
Berwick North Timbarra Primary School, 159-197 Parkhill Dr, BERWICK VIC 3806 Sat, 03 May 2025 11:08:19 PM AEST Sun, 04 May 2025 12:26:01 AM AEST
Clyde BRUCE PPVC Clyde Public Hall, 30 Railway Rd, CLYDE VIC 3978 Sat, 03 May 2025 9:38:55 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 9:39:28 PM AEST
Cranbourne BRUCE PPVC 1st Cranbourne Scout Hall, 255-257 South Gippsland Hwy, CRANBOURNE VIC 3977 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:52:26 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:53:14 PM AEST
Cranbourne North Alkira Secondary College, 15 Nurture Ave, CRANBOURNE NORTH VIC 3977 Sun, 04 May 2025 12:18:39 AM AEST Sun, 04 May 2025 12:20:42 AM AEST
Cranbourne North Upper (Bruce) Tulliallan Primary School, 89 Wheelers Park Dr, CRANBOURNE NORTH VIC 3977 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:33:20 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:34:11 PM AEST
Dandenong Dandenong Primary School, 174-182 Foster St, DANDENONG VIC 3175 Sat, 03 May 2025 9:35:10 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 9:36:32 PM AEST
Dandenong BRUCE PPVC Dandenong Stadium, 270 Stud Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Sun, 04 May 2025 12:07:14 AM AEST Sun, 04 May 2025 12:08:17 AM AEST
Dandenong Central Dandenong High School, 23-29 Ann St, DANDENONG VIC 3175 Sat, 03 May 2025 10:15:41 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 10:16:32 PM AEST
Dandenong North Rosewood Downs Primary School, 25 Murray Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:09:51 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:10:45 PM AEST
Dandenong North East Wooranna Park Primary School, 89-105 Carlton Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Sat, 03 May 2025 10:19:04 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 10:20:36 PM AEST
Dandenong North Lower Lyndale Greens Primary School, 1-19 Oakwood Ave, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Sat, 03 May 2025 9:28:07 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 9:29:21 PM AEST
Dandenong North West Lyndale Secondary College, 170-174 Gladstone Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:22:30 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:23:49 PM AEST
Dandenong Polling Day PPVC Lyndale Secondary College, 170-174 Gladstone Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Sun, 04 May 2025 1:54:14 AM AEST Sun, 04 May 2025 1:54:37 AM AEST
Dandenong Upper Dandenong Stadium, 270 Stud Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:50:22 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 10:41:14 PM AEST
Doveton Doveton College, 62 Tristania St, DOVETON VIC 3177 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:41:10 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:50:04 PM AEST
Doveton West Holy Family Parish, 100 Power Rd, DOVETON VIC 3177 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:41:57 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:42:51 PM AEST
EAV Bruce PPVC AEC National EAV Centre, 10 Mort St, CANBERRA ACT 2601 Sun, 04 May 2025 1:53:50 AM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 10:27:23 PM AEST
Endeavour Hills Endeavour Hills Specialist School, 12-38 Amalfi Dr, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Sat, 03 May 2025 9:19:12 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 9:20:48 PM AEST
Endeavour Hills Central Gleneagles Secondary College, 58 Reema Blvd, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Sat, 03 May 2025 7:51:35 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 7:53:50 PM AEST
Endeavour Hills East Southern Cross Primary School, 1-21 David Collins Dr, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Sat, 03 May 2025 9:49:14 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 9:50:26 PM AEST
Endeavour Hills North Chalcot Lodge Primary School, 15A Primrose Hill Cl, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:36:43 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:38:55 PM AEST
Endeavour Hills North East Thomas Mitchell Primary School, 67-77 Thomas Mitchell Dr, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:16:17 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:40:59 PM AEST
Endeavour Hills Upper Mossgiel Park Primary School, 71 Scotsburn Way, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Sat, 03 May 2025 10:40:16 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 10:40:58 PM AEST
Fountain Gate Fountain Gate Primary School, 7 Prospect Hill Rd, NARRE WARREN VIC 3805 Sat, 03 May 2025 9:29:08 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 10:31:18 PM AEST
Hallam Hallam Primary School, 24 Harmer Rd, HALLAM VIC 3803 Sat, 03 May 2025 10:57:17 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 10:58:53 PM AEST
Hallam East Hallam Gardens Childrens Centre, 26-28 Nettle Dr, HALLAM VIC 3803 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:26:42 PM AEST Sun, 04 May 2025 1:02:18 AM AEST
Hampton Park North (Bruce) Kilberry Valley Primary School, 96-114 Warana Dr, HAMPTON PARK VIC 3976 Sat, 03 May 2025 7:35:28 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 7:36:12 PM AEST
Harkaway Harkaway Primary School, 65 King Rd, HARKAWAY VIC 3806 Sat, 03 May 2025 7:42:44 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:04:56 PM AEST
Lynbrook BRUCE PPVC Narre Warren South Scout Hall, 101 Oakgrove Dr, NARRE WARREN SOUTH VIC 3805 Sun, 04 May 2025 12:05:16 AM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 11:17:03 PM AEST
Mulgrave BRUCE PPVC Mackie Road Neighbourhood House, 36 - 42 Mackie Rd, MULGRAVE VIC 3170 Sat, 03 May 2025 9:31:54 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 9:33:01 PM AEST
Mulgrave East (Bruce) Mulgrave Primary School, 23 Gladeswood Dr, MULGRAVE VIC 3170 Sat, 03 May 2025 7:58:38 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:17:25 PM AEST
Narre Warren Fleetwood Primary School, 97 Fleetwood Dr, NARRE WARREN VIC 3805 Sat, 03 May 2025 10:02:45 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 10:03:35 PM AEST
Narre Warren Central Oatlands Primary School, 79-93 Kurrajong Rd, NARRE WARREN VIC 3805 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:52:42 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:53:36 PM AEST
Narre Warren North Narre Warren North Primary School, 15-31 A'Beckett Rd, NARRE WARREN NORTH VIC 3804 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:08:09 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:50:28 PM AEST
Narre Warren South East (Bruce) Hillsmeade Primary School, 82 The Promenade, NARRE WARREN SOUTH VIC 3805 Sat, 03 May 2025 9:14:43 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 9:59:12 PM AEST
Narre Warren West Maramba Primary School, 59-87 Maramba Dr, NARRE WARREN VIC 3805 Sat, 03 May 2025 9:52:34 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 9:53:09 PM AEST
Noble Park BRUCE PPVC Moodemere Scout Hall, Noble Park Reserve, 46-56 Moodemere St, NOBLE PARK VIC 3174 Sat, 03 May 2025 6:32:23 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 7:10:56 PM AEST
Noble Park North (Bruce) Silverton Primary School, 77-123 Jacksons Rd, NOBLE PARK NORTH VIC 3174 Sat, 03 May 2025 8:03:31 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 8:47:04 PM AEST
Rowville BRUCE PPVC 1st Rowville Scout Group Hall, 61 Turramurra Dr, ROWVILLE VIC 3178 Sat, 03 May 2025 10:43:26 PM AEST Sat, 03 May 2025 10:44:06 PM AEST
Special Hospital Team 1 Multiple sites, VIC Sun, 04 May 2025 9:52:35 AM AEST Sun, 04 May 2025 9:52:35 AM AEST
Special Hospital Team 2 Multiple sites, VIC Sun, 04 May 2025 10:30:36 AM AEST Sun, 04 May 2025 10:30:36 AM AEST
Special Hospital Team 3 Multiple sites, VIC Sun, 04 May 2025 11:09:23 AM AEST Sun, 04 May 2025 11:09:23 AM AEST
Special Hospital Team 4 Multiple sites, VIC Sun, 04 May 2025 11:55:26 AM AEST Sun, 04 May 2025 11:55:26 AM AEST

This table provides the current two candidate preferred (TCP) count for each polling place in the division. The data includes swing - a comparison of the percentage of TCP votes received at the previous federal election compared to the current federal election.

Notes:

  1. Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only. Votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  2. These results are not final.
Two candidate preferred by polling place
Polling place Formal HILL, Julian
Australian Labor Party
SAFI, Zahid
Liberal
Swing
Votes % Votes %
Beaconsfield (Bruce) 327 174 53.21 153 46.79 15.44
Berwick (Bruce) 1,349 731 54.19 618 45.81 12.84
Berwick BRUCE PPVC 11,677 6,267 53.67 5,410 46.33 6.61
Berwick Central 888 556 62.61 332 37.39 17.72
Berwick Fields (Bruce) 2,380 1,690 71.01 690 28.99 16.00
Berwick Lodge 1,130 773 68.41 357 31.59 14.83
Berwick North 1,947 1,190 61.12 757 38.88 13.79
Clyde BRUCE PPVC 501 335 66.87 166 33.13 16.21
Cranbourne BRUCE PPVC 791 553 69.91 238 30.09 15.22
Cranbourne North 1,124 823 73.22 301 26.78 14.66
Cranbourne North Upper (Bruce) 1,343 972 72.38 371 27.62 13.16
Dandenong 741 568 76.65 173 23.35 11.72
Dandenong BRUCE PPVC 17,037 11,562 67.86 5,475 32.14 6.98
Dandenong Central 667 528 79.16 139 20.84 8.12
Dandenong North 1,284 823 64.10 461 35.90 9.29
Dandenong North East 797 602 75.53 195 24.47 9.46
Dandenong North Lower 881 654 74.23 227 25.77 7.35
Dandenong North West 1,242 910 73.27 332 26.73 9.78
Dandenong Polling Day PPVC 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00
Dandenong Upper 792 603 76.14 189 23.86 9.28
Doveton 1,016 778 76.57 238 23.43 10.55
Doveton West 840 627 74.64 213 25.36 11.58
EAV Bruce PPVC 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 -56.25
Endeavour Hills 1,066 737 69.14 329 30.86 10.86
Endeavour Hills Central 657 490 74.58 167 25.42 20.60
Endeavour Hills East 1,380 984 71.30 396 28.70 12.22
Endeavour Hills North 841 569 67.66 272 32.34 11.03
Endeavour Hills North East 1,282 882 68.80 400 31.20 13.85
Endeavour Hills Upper 1,448 993 68.58 455 31.42 9.91
Fountain Gate 1,486 1,091 73.42 395 26.58 9.15
Hallam 1,393 1,095 78.61 298 21.39 15.61
Hallam East 975 729 74.77 246 25.23 8.83
Hampton Park North (Bruce) 306 227 74.18 79 25.82 12.07
Harkaway 692 293 42.34 399 57.66 5.52
Lynbrook BRUCE PPVC 6,386 4,349 68.10 2,037 31.90 10.96
Mulgrave BRUCE PPVC 1,471 917 62.34 554 37.66 10.09
Mulgrave East (Bruce) 1,243 769 61.87 474 38.13 7.35
Narre Warren 1,522 1,028 67.54 494 32.46 10.53
Narre Warren Central 1,497 965 64.46 532 35.54 12.38
Narre Warren North 1,334 655 49.10 679 50.90 10.03
Narre Warren South East (Bruce) 2,211 1,424 64.41 787 35.59 7.77
Narre Warren West 1,943 1,326 68.24 617 31.76 12.18
Noble Park BRUCE PPVC 565 408 72.21 157 27.79 11.45
Noble Park North (Bruce) 1,045 762 72.92 283 27.08 12.35
Rowville BRUCE PPVC 498 289 58.03 209 41.97 1.90
Special Hospital Team 1 99 70 70.71 29 29.29 15.45
Special Hospital Team 2 104 69 66.35 35 33.65 11.29
Special Hospital Team 3 79 53 67.09 26 32.91 11.90
Special Hospital Team 4 138 89 64.49 49 35.51 9.23
ABSENT 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00
PRE_POLL 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00
POSTAL 1,951 1,147 58.79 804 41.21 0.00
PROVISIONAL 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00
Division Total 82,366 54,129 65.72 28,237 34.28 10.41

This table shows the progress of Declaration vote scrutiny for a particular division. In this table you will find...

  • The number declaration vote envelopes issued for the division.
  • The number of declaration vote envelopes received by the division.
  • The number of envelopes rejected at preliminary scrutiny.
  • The number of declaration vote ballot papers counted.

Notes:

  1. These results are not final.
Declaration vote scrutiny progress
Absent Provisional Declaration pre-poll Postal Total
Envelopes issued 29 0 177 26,852 27,058
Envelopes received 0 0 0 20,274 20,274
Ballot papers counted 0 0 0 2,000 2,000
Ballot papers not returned by voter 0 0 0 0 0
Ballot papers disallowed 0 0 0 0 0
Envelopes rejected at preliminary scrutiny 0 0 0 424 424
Envelopes processed 0 0 0 2,424 2,424
Envelopes awaiting processing 0 0 0 17,850 17,850

Profile of division of Bruce (VIC)
Elected member Hill, J (ALP). Elected 2016.
Name derivation Named in honour of the Rt Hon. Lord Stanley Melbourne Bruce CH MC, 1883-1967. Bruce was Prime Minister of Australia (1923-29) and a Member of the House of Representatives (1918-29 and 1931-33).
First proclaimed / election 2024/1955
Area 142 sq. kms
Demographic Outer Metropolitan
Pre-Election seat status Marginal
Seat status Undefined
Location The Division of Bruce consists of part of the Cardinia Shire Council, part of the Casey City Council, part of the Greater Dandenong City Council, and part of the Monash City Council.
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