2025 Federal Election

Bruce, VIC

Updated: Fri, 23 May 2025 2:41:20 PM AEST

This table provides the current two candidate preferred (TCP) count for the division. The data includes swing - a comparison of the percentage of TCP votes received at the previous federal election compared to the current federal election.

Notes:

  1. Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only. Votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  2. The term 'Previous election' may not relate to actual results from the last event. Redistributions of electoral boundaries are taken into account and may produce notional results for any electoral division in a redistributed state or territory. See www.aec.gov.au/redistribution for further information.
  3. These results are not final.
Two candidate preferred (TCP) for Bruce (VIC) 49 of 49 polling places returned and 100.00% of the ballot papers counted thus far have also had a TCP count undertaken.
Candidate Party Votes Margin This election (%) Previous election (%) Swing (%) Status
HILL, JulianAustralian Labor Party70,75132,00864.6255.31+9.31Previous Member
SAFI, ZahidLiberal38,743-32,00835.3844.69-9.31 

This table provides the number of first preference votes received for all candidates in the division. The data includes swing - a comparison of the percentage of first preference votes received at the previous federal election compared to the current federal election.

This table is sortable by selecting on column headers.

Notes:

  1. These results are not final.
First preference count for the division of Bruce (VIC)
49 of 49 polling places returned.
Candidate Party Votes % Swing (%) Status
COLECCHIA, Bianca Pauline Hanson's One Nation 8,931 8.16 +3.47  
GARAD, Rhonda The Greens 13,213 12.07 +2.36  
HILL, Julian Australian Labor Party 49,610 45.31 +5.05 Previous Member
SKROBO, Christine Libertarian 1,289 1.18 +1.18  
SAFI, Zahid Liberal 25,162 22.98 -8.70  
ANDERSON, Samuel James Trumpet of Patriots 3,530 3.22 +3.13  
LOUTH, Andrew Legalise Cannabis Party 3,563 3.25 +3.25  
BIRCHALL, Wendy Family First 4,196 3.83 +3.83  
...... Liberal Democratic Party 0 0.00 -4.73  
...... Animal Justice Party 0 0.00 -0.16  
...... United Australia Party 0 0.00 -8.53  
...... Other 0 0.00 -0.15  
Formal   109,494 93.86 -1.75  
Informal   7,165 6.14 +1.75  
Total   116,659  

This table provides the number and percentage breakdown of first preference votes received by vote type for the division.

This table is sortable by selecting on column headers.

Notes:

  1. An ordinary vote is a vote cast by an elector when their name can be verified on the electoral roll at the place of voting. This can be at an early voting centre or polling place in the voter's own division or at an interstate voting centre.
  2. An absent vote is a vote cast at a polling place outside of a voter's electoral division, but still within their state or territory.
  3. Provisional votes are votes cast at a polling place where the elector's name cannot be found on the roll, the elector's name has already been marked off the roll or votes cast by a silent elector.
  4. These results are not final.
First preferences by vote type
Candidate Party Ordinary Absent Provisional Declaration pre-poll Postal Total Status
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
COLECCHIA, Bianca Pauline Hanson's One Nation 6,449 8.07 383 9.11 12 12.12 231 8.38 1,856 8.26 8,931 8.16  
GARAD, Rhonda The Greens 10,136 12.68 699 16.62 9 9.09 394 14.30 1,975 8.79 13,213 12.07  
HILL, Julian Australian Labor Party 37,297 46.64 1,590 37.81 48 48.48 1,053 38.22 9,622 42.81 49,610 45.31 Previous Member
SKROBO, Christine Libertarian 984 1.23 57 1.36 0 0.00 31 1.13 217 0.97 1,289 1.18  
SAFI, Zahid Liberal 17,252 21.58 804 19.12 17 17.17 700 25.41 6,389 28.43 25,162 22.98  
ANDERSON, Samuel James Trumpet of Patriots 2,389 2.99 197 4.68 4 4.04 106 3.85 834 3.71 3,530 3.22  
LOUTH, Andrew Legalise Cannabis Party 2,445 3.06 291 6.92 0 0.00 130 4.72 697 3.10 3,563 3.25  
BIRCHALL, Wendy Family First 3,009 3.76 184 4.38 9 9.09 110 3.99 884 3.93 4,196 3.83  
Formal   79,961 93.19 4,205 91.25 99 88.39 2,755 94.12 22,474 96.82 109,494 93.86  
Informal   5,840 6.81 403 8.75 13 11.61 172 5.88 737 3.18 7,165 6.14  
Total   85,801 73.55 4,608 3.95 112 0.10 2,927 2.51 23,211 19.90 116,659 91.37  

This table provides the number and percentage breakdown of two candidate preferred (TCP) votes received by vote type for the division.

Notes:

  1. Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only. Votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  2. An ordinary vote is a vote cast by an elector when their name can be verified on the electoral roll at the place of voting. This can be at an early voting centre or polling place in the voter's own division or at an interstate voting centre.
  3. An absent vote is a vote cast at a polling place outside of a voter's electoral division, but still within their state or territory.
  4. Provisional votes are votes cast at a polling place where the elector's name cannot be found on the roll, the elector's name has already been marked off the roll or votes cast by a silent elector.
  5. These results are not final.
Two candidate preferred result by vote type
Candidate Party Ordinary Absent Provisional Declaration pre-poll Postal Total Status
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
HILL, Julian Australian Labor Party 52,985 66.26 2,786 66.25 68 68.69 1,675 60.80 13,237 58.90 70,751 64.62 Previous Member
SAFI, Zahid Liberal 26,976 33.74 1,419 33.75 31 31.31 1,080 39.20 9,237 41.10 38,743 35.38  

This table provides a list of the polling places in the division and the time and date of the most recent updated results for that polling place.

This table is sortable by selecting on column headers and you can find polling place results by selecting on the name of the polling place.

Notes:

  1. These results are not final.
Polling places for Bruce (VIC)
Polling place Street address First preference returned Two candidate preferred (TCP) returned
Beaconsfield (Bruce) Beaconsfield Primary School, 71-77 Old Princes Hwy, BEACONSFIELD VIC 3807 Thu, 22 May 2025 6:17:31 PM AEST Thu, 22 May 2025 6:17:31 PM AEST
Berwick (Bruce) Berwick Secondary College, 67- 69 Manuka Rd, BERWICK VIC 3806 Fri, 23 May 2025 8:59:20 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 8:59:20 AM AEST
Berwick BRUCE PPVC Akoonah Park Centre, 2 Cardinia St, BERWICK VIC 3806 Fri, 23 May 2025 2:41:20 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 2:41:20 PM AEST
Berwick Central Timbarra Community Centre, Timbarra Way, BERWICK VIC 3806 Fri, 23 May 2025 1:19:26 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 1:19:26 PM AEST
Berwick Fields (Bruce) Berwick Fields Primary School, 35 Gwendoline Dr, BERWICK VIC 3806 Fri, 23 May 2025 12:40:16 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 12:40:16 PM AEST
Berwick Lodge Berwick Lodge Primary School, 139-145 Mansfield St, BERWICK VIC 3806 Mon, 19 May 2025 4:15:11 PM AEST Mon, 19 May 2025 4:15:11 PM AEST
Berwick North Timbarra Primary School, 159-197 Parkhill Dr, BERWICK VIC 3806 Thu, 22 May 2025 2:29:41 PM AEST Thu, 22 May 2025 2:29:41 PM AEST
Clyde BRUCE PPVC Clyde Public Hall, 30 Railway Rd, CLYDE VIC 3978 Mon, 19 May 2025 12:35:48 PM AEST Mon, 19 May 2025 12:35:48 PM AEST
Cranbourne BRUCE PPVC 1st Cranbourne Scout Hall, 255-257 South Gippsland Hwy, CRANBOURNE VIC 3977 Mon, 19 May 2025 2:23:29 PM AEST Mon, 19 May 2025 2:23:29 PM AEST
Cranbourne North Alkira Secondary College, 15 Nurture Ave, CRANBOURNE NORTH VIC 3977 Fri, 23 May 2025 12:59:20 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 12:59:20 PM AEST
Cranbourne North Upper (Bruce) Tulliallan Primary School, 89 Wheelers Park Dr, CRANBOURNE NORTH VIC 3977 Fri, 23 May 2025 2:33:51 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 2:33:51 PM AEST
Dandenong Dandenong Primary School, 174-182 Foster St, DANDENONG VIC 3175 Tue, 20 May 2025 12:23:54 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 12:23:54 PM AEST
Dandenong BRUCE PPVC Dandenong Stadium, 270 Stud Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Fri, 23 May 2025 1:02:53 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 1:02:53 PM AEST
Dandenong Central Dandenong High School, 23-29 Ann St, DANDENONG VIC 3175 Tue, 20 May 2025 12:42:26 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 12:42:26 PM AEST
Dandenong North Rosewood Downs Primary School, 25 Murray Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Tue, 20 May 2025 12:37:46 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 12:37:46 PM AEST
Dandenong North East Wooranna Park Primary School, 89-105 Carlton Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Tue, 20 May 2025 11:51:37 AM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 11:51:37 AM AEST
Dandenong North Lower Lyndale Greens Primary School, 1-19 Oakwood Ave, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Fri, 23 May 2025 10:38:07 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 10:38:07 AM AEST
Dandenong North West Lyndale Secondary College, 170-174 Gladstone Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Tue, 20 May 2025 2:30:56 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 2:30:56 PM AEST
Dandenong Polling Day PPVC Lyndale Secondary College, 170-174 Gladstone Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Mon, 12 May 2025 12:25:27 PM AEST Mon, 12 May 2025 12:25:27 PM AEST
Dandenong Upper Dandenong Stadium, 270 Stud Rd, DANDENONG NORTH VIC 3175 Tue, 20 May 2025 1:10:43 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 1:10:43 PM AEST
Doveton Doveton College, 62 Tristania St, DOVETON VIC 3177 Tue, 20 May 2025 1:48:11 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 1:48:11 PM AEST
Doveton West Holy Family Parish, 100 Power Rd, DOVETON VIC 3177 Tue, 20 May 2025 2:29:29 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 2:29:29 PM AEST
EAV Bruce PPVC AEC National EAV Centre, 10 Mort St, CANBERRA ACT 2601 Tue, 13 May 2025 5:30:37 PM AEST Tue, 13 May 2025 5:30:37 PM AEST
Endeavour Hills Endeavour Hills Specialist School, 12-38 Amalfi Dr, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Fri, 23 May 2025 12:54:39 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 12:54:39 PM AEST
Endeavour Hills Central Gleneagles Secondary College, 58 Reema Blvd, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Tue, 20 May 2025 4:09:38 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 4:09:38 PM AEST
Endeavour Hills East Southern Cross Primary School, 1-21 David Collins Dr, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Fri, 23 May 2025 12:22:00 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 12:22:00 PM AEST
Endeavour Hills North Chalcot Lodge Primary School, 15A Primrose Hill Cl, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Thu, 22 May 2025 6:09:40 PM AEST Thu, 22 May 2025 6:09:40 PM AEST
Endeavour Hills North East Thomas Mitchell Primary School, 67-77 Thomas Mitchell Dr, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Fri, 23 May 2025 11:47:03 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 11:47:03 AM AEST
Endeavour Hills Upper Mossgiel Park Primary School, 71 Scotsburn Way, ENDEAVOUR HILLS VIC 3802 Fri, 23 May 2025 12:26:52 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 12:26:52 PM AEST
Fountain Gate Fountain Gate Primary School, 7 Prospect Hill Rd, NARRE WARREN VIC 3805 Fri, 23 May 2025 10:20:54 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 10:20:54 AM AEST
Hallam Hallam Primary School, 24 Harmer Rd, HALLAM VIC 3803 Fri, 23 May 2025 11:33:54 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 11:33:54 AM AEST
Hallam East Hallam Gardens Childrens Centre, 26-28 Nettle Dr, HALLAM VIC 3803 Fri, 23 May 2025 12:36:50 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 12:36:50 PM AEST
Hampton Park North (Bruce) Kilberry Valley Primary School, 96-114 Warana Dr, HAMPTON PARK VIC 3976 Tue, 20 May 2025 4:17:01 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 4:17:01 PM AEST
Harkaway Harkaway Primary School, 65 King Rd, HARKAWAY VIC 3806 Tue, 20 May 2025 3:58:37 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 3:58:37 PM AEST
Lynbrook BRUCE PPVC Narre Warren South Scout Hall, 101 Oakgrove Dr, NARRE WARREN SOUTH VIC 3805 Fri, 23 May 2025 2:38:39 PM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 2:38:39 PM AEST
Mulgrave BRUCE PPVC Mackie Road Neighbourhood House, 36 - 42 Mackie Rd, MULGRAVE VIC 3170 Thu, 22 May 2025 2:04:08 PM AEST Thu, 22 May 2025 2:04:08 PM AEST
Mulgrave East (Bruce) Mulgrave Primary School, 23 Gladeswood Dr, MULGRAVE VIC 3170 Tue, 20 May 2025 4:08:04 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 4:08:04 PM AEST
Narre Warren Fleetwood Primary School, 97 Fleetwood Dr, NARRE WARREN VIC 3805 Tue, 20 May 2025 4:39:26 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 4:39:26 PM AEST
Narre Warren Central Oatlands Primary School, 79-93 Kurrajong Rd, NARRE WARREN VIC 3805 Tue, 20 May 2025 3:52:04 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 3:52:04 PM AEST
Narre Warren North Narre Warren North Primary School, 15-31 A'Beckett Rd, NARRE WARREN NORTH VIC 3804 Fri, 23 May 2025 11:38:29 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 11:38:29 AM AEST
Narre Warren South East (Bruce) Hillsmeade Primary School, 82 The Promenade, NARRE WARREN SOUTH VIC 3805 Tue, 20 May 2025 5:40:43 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 5:40:43 PM AEST
Narre Warren West Maramba Primary School, 59-87 Maramba Dr, NARRE WARREN VIC 3805 Fri, 23 May 2025 10:47:43 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 10:47:43 AM AEST
Noble Park BRUCE PPVC Moodemere Scout Hall, Noble Park Reserve, 46-56 Moodemere St, NOBLE PARK VIC 3174 Mon, 19 May 2025 2:21:35 PM AEST Mon, 19 May 2025 2:21:35 PM AEST
Noble Park North (Bruce) Silverton Primary School, 77-123 Jacksons Rd, NOBLE PARK NORTH VIC 3174 Fri, 23 May 2025 9:48:16 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 9:48:16 AM AEST
Rowville BRUCE PPVC 1st Rowville Scout Group Hall, 61 Turramurra Dr, ROWVILLE VIC 3178 Mon, 19 May 2025 12:56:45 PM AEST Mon, 19 May 2025 12:56:45 PM AEST
Special Hospital Team 1 Multiple sites, VIC Tue, 20 May 2025 4:01:55 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 4:01:55 PM AEST
Special Hospital Team 2 Multiple sites, VIC Tue, 20 May 2025 3:54:06 PM AEST Tue, 20 May 2025 3:54:06 PM AEST
Special Hospital Team 3 Multiple sites, VIC Mon, 12 May 2025 9:40:04 AM AEST Mon, 12 May 2025 9:40:04 AM AEST
Special Hospital Team 4 Multiple sites, VIC Fri, 23 May 2025 8:29:11 AM AEST Fri, 23 May 2025 8:29:11 AM AEST

This table provides the current two candidate preferred (TCP) count for each polling place in the division. The data includes swing - a comparison of the percentage of TCP votes received at the previous federal election compared to the current federal election.

Notes:

  1. Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only. Votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is higher than the alternative TCP candidate, regardless of other preferences. The TCP count ultimately determines who wins the seat.
  2. These results are not final.
Two candidate preferred by polling place
Polling place Formal HILL, Julian
Australian Labor Party
SAFI, Zahid
Liberal
Swing
Votes % Votes %
Beaconsfield (Bruce) 320 170 53.13 150 46.88 15.36
Berwick (Bruce) 1,340 730 54.48 610 45.52 13.13
Berwick BRUCE PPVC 11,623 6,235 53.64 5,388 46.36 6.58
Berwick Central 887 559 63.02 328 36.98 18.13
Berwick Fields (Bruce) 2,368 1,676 70.78 692 29.22 15.77
Berwick Lodge 1,122 763 68.00 359 32.00 14.42
Berwick North 1,925 1,173 60.94 752 39.06 13.61
Clyde BRUCE PPVC 515 342 66.41 173 33.59 15.75
Cranbourne BRUCE PPVC 805 561 69.69 244 30.31 15.00
Cranbourne North 1,120 820 73.21 300 26.79 14.65
Cranbourne North Upper (Bruce) 1,336 971 72.68 365 27.32 13.46
Dandenong 743 572 76.99 171 23.01 12.06
Dandenong BRUCE PPVC 16,961 11,837 69.79 5,124 30.21 8.91
Dandenong Central 658 520 79.03 138 20.97 7.99
Dandenong North 1,277 817 63.98 460 36.02 9.17
Dandenong North East 796 602 75.63 194 24.37 9.56
Dandenong North Lower 874 650 74.37 224 25.63 7.49
Dandenong North West 1,219 896 73.50 323 26.50 10.01
Dandenong Polling Day PPVC 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00
Dandenong Upper 784 596 76.02 188 23.98 9.16
Doveton 1,003 769 76.67 234 23.33 10.65
Doveton West 840 628 74.76 212 25.24 11.70
EAV Bruce PPVC 17 16 94.12 1 5.88 37.87
Endeavour Hills 1,054 727 68.98 327 31.02 10.70
Endeavour Hills Central 657 488 74.28 169 25.72 20.30
Endeavour Hills East 1,369 980 71.59 389 28.41 12.51
Endeavour Hills North 842 571 67.81 271 32.19 11.18
Endeavour Hills North East 1,280 880 68.75 400 31.25 13.80
Endeavour Hills Upper 1,433 980 68.39 453 31.61 9.72
Fountain Gate 1,477 1,082 73.26 395 26.74 8.99
Hallam 1,418 1,110 78.28 308 21.72 15.28
Hallam East 919 688 74.86 231 25.14 8.92
Hampton Park North (Bruce) 302 226 74.83 76 25.17 12.72
Harkaway 691 295 42.69 396 57.31 5.87
Lynbrook BRUCE PPVC 6,270 4,233 67.51 2,037 32.49 10.37
Mulgrave BRUCE PPVC 1,476 923 62.53 553 37.47 10.28
Mulgrave East (Bruce) 1,231 763 61.98 468 38.02 7.46
Narre Warren 1,554 1,057 68.02 497 31.98 11.01
Narre Warren Central 1,492 963 64.54 529 35.46 12.46
Narre Warren North 1,325 657 49.58 668 50.42 10.51
Narre Warren South East (Bruce) 2,210 1,436 64.98 774 35.02 8.34
Narre Warren West 1,924 1,306 67.88 618 32.12 11.82
Noble Park BRUCE PPVC 559 403 72.09 156 27.91 11.33
Noble Park North (Bruce) 1,045 761 72.82 284 27.18 12.25
Rowville BRUCE PPVC 487 281 57.70 206 42.30 1.57
Special Hospital Team 1 94 67 71.28 27 28.72 16.02
Special Hospital Team 2 104 69 66.35 35 33.65 11.29
Special Hospital Team 3 79 53 67.09 26 32.91 11.90
Special Hospital Team 4 136 83 61.03 53 38.97 5.77
ABSENT 4,205 2,786 66.25 1,419 33.75 0.00
PRE_POLL 2,755 1,675 60.80 1,080 39.20 0.00
POSTAL 22,474 13,237 58.90 9,237 41.10 0.00
PROVISIONAL 99 68 68.69 31 31.31 0.00
Division Total 109,494 70,751 64.62 38,743 35.38 9.31

This table shows the progress of Declaration vote scrutiny for a particular division. In this table you will find...

  • The number declaration vote envelopes issued for the division.
  • The number of declaration vote envelopes received by the division.
  • The number of envelopes rejected at preliminary scrutiny.
  • The number of declaration vote ballot papers counted.

Notes:

  1. These results are not final.
Declaration vote scrutiny progress
Absent Provisional Declaration pre-poll Postal Total
Envelopes issued 4,740 412 3,160 26,852 35,164
Envelopes received 4,740 412 3,160 23,990 32,302
Ballot papers counted 4,608 112 2,927 23,211 30,858
Ballot papers not returned by voter 44 0 6 41 91
Ballot papers disallowed 12 34 25 7 78
Envelopes rejected at preliminary scrutiny 76 266 202 731 1,275
Envelopes processed 4,740 412 3,160 23,990 32,302
Envelopes awaiting processing 0 0 0 0 0

Profile of division of Bruce (VIC)
Elected member Hill, J (ALP). Elected 2016.
Name derivation Named in honour of the Rt Hon. Lord Stanley Melbourne Bruce CH MC, 1883-1967. Bruce was Prime Minister of Australia (1923-29) and a Member of the House of Representatives (1918-29 and 1931-33).
First proclaimed / election 2024/1955
Area 142 sq. kms
Demographic Outer Metropolitan
Pre-Election seat status Marginal
Seat status Safe
Location The Division of Bruce consists of part of the Cardinia Shire Council, part of the Casey City Council, part of the Greater Dandenong City Council, and part of the Monash City Council.
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